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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Fauquier, VA · ZIP 20119 · Census Tract 51061930704 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$608K
Downside (P10)
$524K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$648K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$881K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $608K | $622K | $647K | $648K |
| YoY Change | +2.2% | +4.0% | +0.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $552K | $528K | $524K | |
| Upside (P90) | $741K | $870K | $881K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$552K to $741K
30.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$524K to $881K
55.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cedar Run · Catlett · (Tract 9307.4) | $609K | $648K | +6.5% | |
| Cold Harbor | $368K | $445K | +21.1% | |
| Hollymead | $400K | $484K | +21.0% | |
| Centreville | $603K | $727K | +20.5% | |
| East Highland Park | $213K | $256K | +20.5% | |
| Fair Oaks | $651K | $782K | +20.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cedar Run · Catlett · (Tract 9307.4) | $609K | $648K | $357K | |
| 1 | $104K | $114K | $54K | |
| Blackberry | $103K | $104K | $54K | |
| Sharon | $101K | $109K | $53K | |
| 3 | $76K | $82K | $50K | |
| 5 | $61K | $69K | $33K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.