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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
County 50865, VT · Census Tract 50865002167 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$103K
Downside (P10)
$89K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$141K
+37% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$245K
+138% by 2030
Base case: +37% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +138%. The model forecasts this with 39% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $103K | $125K | $124K | $127K | $141K |
| YoY Change | +21.5% | -0.7% | +2.3% | +11.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $92K | $84K | $84K | $89K | |
| Upside (P90) | $189K | $199K | $217K | $245K |
The spread between upside and downside scenarios is unusually large — treat any single-point estimate with high caution. This reflects sparse local data or extreme historical volatility.
1-Year Spread
$92K to $189K
77.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$89K to $245K
110.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002167 | $103K | $141K | +36.9% | |
| Tract 005960 | $106K | $163K | +54.6% | |
| Tract 000868 | $100K | $155K | +54.3% | |
| Tract 003823 | $103K | $158K | +53.7% | |
| Tract 005643 | $100K | $146K | +45.5% | |
| Tract 004644 | $100K | $145K | +44.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002167 | $103K | $141K | +36.9% | |
| Tract 004424 | $75K | $135K | +79.3% | |
| Tract 005465 | $73K | $121K | +66.8% | |
| Tract 002442 | $76K | $127K | +66.6% | |
| Tract 001087 | $91K | $150K | +65.9% | |
| Tract 002963 | $97K | $160K | +65.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002167 | $103K | $141K | $156K | |
| Tract 004369 | $75K | $120K | $128K | |
| Tract 000185 | $59K | $94K | $120K | |
| Tract 001485 | $74K | $108K | $119K | |
| Tract 000224 | $60K | $87K | $117K | |
| Tract 000046 | $58K | $92K | $112K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources