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Kitsap, WA · ZIP 98359 · Census Tract 53035092802 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$586K
Downside (P10)
$480K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$589K
+0% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$771K
+32% by 2030
Base case: +0% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +32%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $273K | $281K | $287K | $325K | $348K | $383K | $408K | $453K | $504K | $570K | $586K | $576K | $579K | $589K |
| YoY Change | +2.9% | +2.1% | +13.2% | +7.2% | +9.9% | +6.6% | +11.1% | +11.3% | +13.0% | +2.8% | -1.6% | +0.5% | +1.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $483K | $490K | $480K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $673K | $721K | $771K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$483K to $673K
33.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$480K to $771K
49.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Port Orchard · Olalla · (Tract 928.2) | $579K | $589K | +1.6% | |
| Silverdale (Tract 091206) | $586K | $658K | +12.2% | |
| Silverdale (Tract 091201) | $567K | $609K | +7.4% | |
| Poulsbo (Tract 090400) | $593K | $635K | +7.0% | |
| Poulsbo (Tract 940100) | $585K | $615K | +5.2% | |
| Kingston | $581K | $603K | +3.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Port Orchard · Olalla · (Tract 928.2) | $579K | $589K | +1.6% | |
| Silverdale | $534K | $637K | +19.4% | |
| Bremerton (Tract 081100) | $379K | $450K | +18.9% | |
| Bremerton (Tract 080102) | $384K | $454K | +18.4% | |
| Bremerton (Tract 091600) | $447K | $523K | +16.8% | |
| Bremerton (Tract 081000) | $364K | $421K | +15.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Port Orchard · Olalla · (Tract 928.2) | $579K | $589K | $291K | |
| Silverdale | $567K | $609K | $234K | |
| Bremerton (Tract 080102) | $384K | $454K | $225K | |
| Bremerton (Tract 081000) | $364K | $421K | $224K | |
| Bremerton (Tract 091701) | $555K | $609K | $216K | |
| Port Orchard | $435K | $461K | $212K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.