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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
San Mateo, CA · ZIP 94014 · Census Tract 06081600702 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.28M
Downside (P10)
$1.03M
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.36M
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.71M
+34% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +34%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $961K | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.3M | $1.4M | $1.4M |
| YoY Change | +4.5% | +9.9% | +6.1% | +5.6% | +3.9% | +2.7% | +5.5% | -2.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.0M | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.5M | $1.6M | $1.7M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$1.13M to $1.49M
26.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.03M to $1.71M
50.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daly City · 94014 · (Tract 6007.2) | $1.26M | $1.36M | +8.0% | |
| San Mateo | $1.28M | $1.51M | +17.9% | |
| South San Francisco (Tract 601901) | $1.28M | $1.48M | +15.5% | |
| South San Francisco (Tract 602900) | $1.28M | $1.43M | +11.8% | |
| South San Francisco (Tract 600100) | $1.27M | $1.39M | +8.9% | |
| Pacifica | $1.29M | $1.35M | +4.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daly City · 94014 · (Tract 6007.2) | $1.26M | $1.36M | +8.0% | |
| Redwood City (Tract 610303) | $2.02M | $2.51M | +23.9% | |
| Redwood City (Tract 610902) | $1.45M | $1.74M | +20.5% | |
| Half Moon Bay | $1.48M | $1.77M | +19.7% | |
| Millbrae | $1.21M | $1.43M | +18.6% | |
| South San Francisco | $324K | $384K | +18.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daly City · 94014 · (Tract 6007.2) | $1.26M | $1.36M | $689K | |
| Daly City | $672K | $700K | $369K | |
| San Bruno (Tract 604102) | $664K | $707K | $363K | |
| San Bruno (Tract 603801) | $632K | $668K | $265K | |
| South San Francisco | $324K | $384K | $225K | |
| Redwood City | $276K | $321K | $181K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.