Loading forecast data...
Ready to see your forecast?
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Loading forecast data...
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Ventura, CA · ZIP 93021 · Census Tract 06111007607 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$1.01M
Downside (P10)
$786K
-23% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.06M
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.35M
+33% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -23% to +33%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $630K | $629K | $659K | $721K | $701K | $776K | $793K | $856K | $928K | $985K | $1.0M | $1.0M | $1.0M | $1.1M |
| YoY Change | -0.1% | +4.8% | +9.5% | -2.8% | +10.7% | +2.1% | +8.0% | +8.4% | +6.1% | +3.0% | +2.3% | +0.9% | +1.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $835K | $838K | $786K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.3M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$835K to $1.20M
35.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$786K to $1.35M
52.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moorpark | $985K | $1.06M | +7.5% | |
| Camarillo | $1.01M | $1.19M | +17.3% | |
| San Buenaventura (Ventura) (Tract 002400) | $1.03M | $1.20M | +16.9% | |
| Oxnard (Tract 003618) | $1.01M | $1.12M | +11.1% | |
| Oxnard (Tract 003615) | $992K | $1.10M | +10.5% | |
| San Buenaventura (Ventura) (Tract 001801) | $1.03M | $1.10M | +7.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moorpark | $985K | $1.06M | +7.5% | |
| Triunfo Pass-Point Mugu | $1.98M | $2.40M | +21.6% | |
| Oxnard (Tract 003011) | $695K | $844K | +21.4% | |
| Oxnard (Tract 004503) | $493K | $596K | +20.8% | |
| Thousand Oaks | $1.04M | $1.24M | +19.2% | |
| Oxnard (Tract 004505) | $588K | $697K | +18.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moorpark | $985K | $1.06M | $560K | |
| Thousand Oaks | $425K | $465K | $250K | |
| Camarillo | $466K | $504K | $235K | |
| Oxnard (Tract 004710) | $343K | $396K | $209K | |
| Santa Paula | $245K | $253K | $157K | |
| Oxnard (Tract 004704) | $155K | $168K | $108K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.