South Central Connecticut, CT · Census Tract 09170142200 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$405K
Downside (P10)
$357K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$457K
+13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$697K
+72% by 2030
Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +72%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar South Central Connecticut markets.
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $221K | $347K | $389K | $405K | $415K | $431K | $457K |
| YoY Change | +57.2% | +11.9% | +4.2% | +2.5% | +4.0% | +6.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $338K | $348K | $357K | ||||
| Upside (P90) | $505K | $589K | $697K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$338K to $505K
40.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$357K to $697K
74.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Haven · (Tract 1422) | $403K | $457K | +13.6% | |
| Milford city (balance) | $409K | $429K | +4.9% | |
| Branford | $410K | $436K | +6.4% | |
| Milford | $410K | $433K | +5.5% | |
| North Branford | $412K | $385K | -6.7% | |
| Milford city (balance) | $392K | $466K | +18.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Haven · (Tract 1422) | $403K | $457K | +13.6% | |
| New Haven | $240K | $291K | +21.2% | |
| New Haven | $368K | $443K | +20.4% | |
| Milford city (balance) | $392K | $466K | +18.8% | |
| Meriden | $172K | $203K | +17.9% | |
| Meriden | $236K | $277K | +17.7% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.