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Bullitt, KY · ZIP 40165 · Census Tract 21029020402 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$319K
Downside (P10)
$262K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$339K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$538K
+69% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +69%. The model forecasts this with 55% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $198K | $209K | $259K | $279K | $310K | $319K | $322K | $332K | $339K |
| YoY Change | +5.3% | +24.3% | +7.6% | +11.2% | +2.9% | +1.0% | +3.0% | +2.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $279K | $272K | $262K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $451K | $486K | $538K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$279K to $451K
53.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$262K to $538K
81.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shepherdsville Northwest · Shepherdsville · (Tract 204.2) | $318K | $339K | +6.5% | |
| Mount Washington (Tract 020300) | $300K | $347K | +15.5% | |
| Shepherdsville Northwest | $303K | $341K | +12.7% | |
| Mount Washington (Tract 020201) | $355K | $378K | +6.5% | |
| Mount Washington (Tract 020202) | $302K | $319K | +5.6% | |
| Mount Washington (Tract 020103) | $292K | $288K | -1.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shepherdsville Northwest · Shepherdsville · (Tract 204.2) | $318K | $339K | +6.5% | |
| Lebanon Junction | $188K | $227K | +20.7% | |
| Hillview | $174K | $209K | +20.0% | |
| Shepherdsville Northwest | $199K | $233K | +17.0% | |
| Mount Washington | $300K | $347K | +15.5% | |
| Shepherdsville Southeast | $367K | $417K | +13.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shepherdsville Northwest · Shepherdsville · (Tract 204.2) | $318K | $339K | $276K | |
| Shepherdsville Northwest (Tract 020601) | $207K | $202K | $124K | |
| Shepherdsville Northwest (Tract 020900) | $232K | $248K | $121K | |
| Shepherdsville Northwest (Tract 020800) | $178K | $184K | $117K | |
| Shepherdsville Southeast | $199K | $213K | $105K | |
| Shepherdsville Northwest (Tract 020704) | $126K | $128K | $57K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.